Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.042510 0.046296 0.050129 0.054294 0.058684 0.063168 0.068088
2025-07-27 0.036894 0.042480 0.048339 0.054915 0.062066 0.069581 0.078050
2025-08-03 0.032966 0.039881 0.047359 0.055988 0.065612 0.075959 0.087870
2025-08-10 0.027924 0.035514 0.043978 0.054008 0.065467 0.078049 0.092811
2025-08-17 0.024636 0.032796 0.042147 0.053492 0.066720 0.081505 0.099124
2025-08-24 0.021864 0.030414 0.040472 0.052941 0.067753 0.084570 0.104889
2025-08-31 0.020556 0.029665 0.040613 0.054426 0.071078 0.090219 0.113592
2025-09-07 0.019226 0.028761 0.040464 0.055475 0.073824 0.095154 0.121456
2025-09-14 0.017877 0.027719 0.040047 0.056116 0.076019 0.099404 0.128500
2025-09-21 0.016498 0.026527 0.039351 0.056333 0.077636 0.102926 0.134663
2025-09-28 0.015803 0.026195 0.039710 0.057839 0.080816 0.108316 0.143061
2025-10-05 0.014349 0.024715 0.038487 0.057255 0.081341 0.110452 0.147531
2025-10-12 0.013221 0.023649 0.037791 0.057359 0.082767 0.113757 0.153527
2025-10-19 0.012484 0.023096 0.037753 0.058299 0.085246 0.118371 0.161149
2025-10-26 0.011915 0.022750 0.037967 0.059557 0.088132 0.123503 0.169436
2025-11-02 0.010345 0.020774 0.035817 0.057559 0.086738 0.123239 0.171040
2025-11-09 0.009374 0.019651 0.034808 0.057051 0.087242 0.125326 0.175537
2025-11-16 0.008474 0.018569 0.033799 0.056491 0.087633 0.127244 0.179807
2025-11-23 0.008219 0.018530 0.034310 0.058048 0.090851 0.132785 0.188652
2025-11-30 0.007862 0.018291 0.034504 0.059147 0.093451 0.137541 0.196529
2025-12-07 0.007423 0.017877 0.034411 0.059818 0.095466 0.141545 0.203467
2025-12-14 0.006910 0.017292 0.034024 0.060045 0.096861 0.144741 0.209383
2025-12-21 0.006737 0.017309 0.034565 0.061617 0.100106 0.150361 0.218421